SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Portland Timbers | 31 | 3 | 45 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 30 | 0 | 44 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 0 | 43 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 30 | 24 | 60 |
| 2 | Dallas | 31 | 11 | 49 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 31 | 3 | 45 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
35.56% ( 0.01) | 23.73% ( 0) | 40.71% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.27% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.25% ( -0.01) | 39.75% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.9% ( -0.01) | 62.1% ( 0.01) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% | 22.34% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.18% ( -0) | 55.82% ( 0) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% ( -0.01) | 19.82% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.09% ( -0.02) | 51.91% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.56% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.8% 1-3 @ 4.69% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 40.71% |
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