SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.78%) and 1-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
47.08% ( 0.17) | 21.78% ( -0.4) | 31.13% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 67.97% ( 1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.39% ( 2.14) | 31.6% ( -2.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.9% ( 2.47) | 53.09% ( -2.48) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.9% ( 0.86) | 14.09% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.29% ( 1.66) | 41.71% ( -1.67) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% ( 1.17) | 20.87% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.43% ( 1.81) | 53.57% ( -1.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.5)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.71% Total : 47.09% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.36)3-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.12)3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.13% |
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