MK Dons are currently in the playoffs and will be desperate to keep hold of their top-seven status against their bitter rivals on Tuesday night.
Wimbledon are struggling in front of goal without their leading marksman, and we expect the visitors to return home without points from this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
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