Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Modena	Draw	Palermo
44.49% ( -0.13)	26.96% ( -0.01)	28.55% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 48.74% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.93% (

0.1)

56.07% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.85% (

0.08)

77.15% (

-0.07)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.93% (

-0.01)

25.07% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.24% (

-0.02)

59.76% (

0.03)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.05% (

0.16)

34.95% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.31% (

0.17)

71.7% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Modena 44.49%

Palermo 28.55%

Draw 26.96%

Modena	Draw	Palermo
1-0 @ 12.12% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 44.49%	1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.96%	0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 28.55%