Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Modena had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Modena
44.84% ( -0.36)	26.16% ( -0.07)	29% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 51.38% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.21% (

0.47)

52.78% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.59% (

0.4)

74.41% (

-0.4)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.54% (

0.03)

23.45% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.53% (

0.05)

57.47% (

-0.05)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.13% (

0.57)

32.87% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.56% (

0.63)

69.44% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Palermo 44.83%

Modena 29%

Draw 26.15%

Palermo	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.83% Total : 44.83%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.07) Other @ 1% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.53% Total : 29%