Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.04) 
