SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Danubio |
34.02% ( -0) | 28.08% ( -0) | 37.9% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.36% ( 0.02) | 58.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.81% ( 0.02) | 79.19% ( -0.02) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.65% ( 0.01) | 32.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.15% ( 0.01) | 68.85% ( -0.01) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.11% ( 0.02) | 29.89% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.01% ( 0.02) | 65.99% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.02% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.89% |
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