Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 46.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (9.46%).