SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Boston River |
39.71% ( -0.23) | 29.3% ( -0.02) | 30.99% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 43.39% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.69% ( 0.11) | 63.31% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.31% ( 0.08) | 82.69% ( -0.08) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.86% ( -0.08) | 31.13% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.53% ( -0.1) | 67.47% ( 0.1) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.01% ( 0.25) | 36.99% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.23% ( 0.25) | 73.77% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 13.43% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.29% | 0-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.82% Total : 30.99% |
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