SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Danubio |
37.59% ( 0.17) | 27.81% ( 0.03) | 34.6% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 48.29% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.4% ( -0.13) | 57.6% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.63% ( -0.1) | 78.38% ( 0.11) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( 0.04) | 29.57% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.41% ( 0.05) | 65.59% ( -0.04) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% ( -0.2) | 31.43% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.19% ( -0.23) | 67.81% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.59% |
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