SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Danubio |
33.25% ( -0.36) | 28.58% ( 0.68) | 38.17% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 45.87% ( -2.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.48% ( -2.48) | 60.52% ( 2.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.37% ( -1.91) | 80.63% ( 1.91) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% ( -1.54) | 33.85% ( 1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.48% ( -1.7) | 70.51% ( 1.7) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( -1.41) | 30.66% ( 1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.09% ( -1.71) | 66.9% ( 1.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.39% Total : 33.25% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.92)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.3)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.65) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.16% |
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