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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
31.45% ( -0.01) | 24.15% ( -0) | 44.4% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.36% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.04% ( 0.01) | 42.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( 0.01) | 65.36% ( -0.01) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% | 26.22% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.68% | 61.31% ( -0) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( 0.01) | 19.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.56% ( 0.01) | 51.44% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.45% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.36% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.83% 1-3 @ 4.98% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 44.4% |
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