Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | CF Montreal |
36.48% | 26.34% | 37.18% |
Both teams to score 53.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.38% | 51.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.59% | 73.41% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.66% | 27.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.21% | 62.79% |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.07% | 26.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.74% | 62.26% |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | CF Montreal |
1-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.99% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.18% |
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