Defensively speaking, there is still room for improvement from both teams, but we expect a little more determination from Montreal against a side in Cincy who still tend to concede their share of space in transition, plus they have not fared well historically in their new venue.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
