Major League Soccer

May 29, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Saputo Stadium

Montreal
4 - 3
Cincinnati

Waterman (21'), Quioto (45+4', 59' pen.), Choiniere (46')
Waterman (53'), Camacho (86'), Hamdy (90')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Moreno (12', 63'), Barreal (52')
Acosta (83'), Moreno (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: CF Montreal 2-2 FC Cincinnati

Sunday's encounter is a difficult one to predict considering the last three results between the two teams; a goalless draw in August 2021 was sandwiched in between 5-4 and 4-3 victories for Montreal. Both sides will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points at the Saputo Stadium, but as there is little to separate them, they may have to settle for an entertaining score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 15.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	FC Cincinnati
64.76% ( 2.23)	19.99% ( -0.54)	15.25% ( -1.69)

Both teams to score 52.11% (

-2.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.54% (

-0.79)

42.46% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.13% (

-0.79)

64.87% (

0.79)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.64% (

0.39)

12.36% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.8% (

0.81)

38.2% (

-0.82)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.46% (

-2.62)

40.54% (

2.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.85% (

-2.45)

77.14% (

2.45)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 64.76%

FC Cincinnati 15.25%

Draw 19.99%

CF Montreal	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.7) 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.59) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.42% Total : 64.76%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.36) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.99%	0-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.78% Total : 15.25%