SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
46.89% ( 0.2) | 25.14% ( -0.04) | 27.97% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.81% ( 0.08) | 49.19% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.74% ( 0.08) | 71.26% ( -0.08) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( 0.13) | 21% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.22% ( 0.19) | 53.78% ( -0.19) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.22% ( -0.08) | 31.77% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.79% ( -0.09) | 68.2% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 46.88% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.97% |
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