SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | CF Montreal |
52.33% ( -0.36) | 24.05% ( 0.2) | 23.62% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% ( -0.72) | 48.01% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( -0.67) | 70.18% ( 0.66) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( -0.41) | 18.32% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.59% ( -0.69) | 49.4% ( 0.68) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.29% ( -0.27) | 34.71% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.56% ( -0.28) | 71.43% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.33% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 23.62% |
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