SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 14.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
66.61% ( 0.99) | 18.55% ( -0.49) | 14.83% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.42% ( 1.28) | 36.58% ( -1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.27% ( 1.39) | 58.73% ( -1.39) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.82% ( 0.61) | 10.18% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.57% ( 1.37) | 33.43% ( -1.37) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.6% ( 0.17) | 37.4% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.82% ( 0.17) | 74.18% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.13)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.99% Total : 66.61% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.55% | 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.09% Total : 14.84% |
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