SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Montserrat win it was 2-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montserrat | Draw | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines |
21.76% ( 0.03) | 22.25% ( 0.2) | 55.99% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.79% ( -0.86) | 42.2% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.39% ( -0.86) | 64.61% ( 0.86) |
| Montserrat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% ( -0.46) | 33.17% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.22% ( -0.51) | 69.78% ( 0.51) |
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.07% ( -0.36) | 14.93% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.67% ( -0.7) | 43.32% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montserrat | Draw | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines |
| 2-1 @ 5.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.76% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 6.27% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 5.68% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.99% |
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