Moreirense aim to bounce back at home after a dip in form. They boast a strong home record and an unbeaten run against Estrela Amadora who have struggled away from home. Expect a Moreirense win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Estrela Amadora
56.33% ( 0.05)	24% ( -0.01)	19.67% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 48.19% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.83% (

-0.02)

52.16% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.12% (

-0.02)

73.88% (

0.02)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.64% (

0.01)

18.36% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.51% (

0.02)

49.48% (

-0.02)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.03% (

-0.07)

40.97% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.47% (

-0.06)

77.53% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 56.33%

Estrela Amadora 19.67%

Draw 23.99%

Moreirense	Draw	Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 56.33%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.67%