With just eight games to go, Vitoria de Guimaraes know that they cannot afford any slip-ups if they are to secure a top-four finish. Pacheco's men have hit their stride in recent weeks and we fancy them to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
-0.06) 
0.03) 
