Looking at recent meetings between Boavista and Moreirense, we anticipate a cagey affair at the Estadio do Bessa on Saturday. Borges's side are unbeaten in six of their last eight matches on the road and we fancy them seeing off Os Axadrezados who have won just one home game since September.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
-0.09) 
0.11) 
