Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
49.14% ( 0.02) | 24.86% ( -0) | 26% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.2% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.65% ( -0) | 49.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% ( -0) | 71.39% |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.89% ( 0) | 20.11% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.63% ( 0.01) | 52.36% ( -0.01) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.6% ( -0.01) | 33.4% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.97% ( -0.01) | 70.03% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.79% Total : 49.13% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.72% 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 26% |
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