Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mozambique in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mozambique.
Result | ||
Mozambique | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
40.02% ( 0.3) | 27.49% ( -0.16) | 32.49% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 48.85% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.28% ( 0.55) | 56.71% ( -0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.33% ( 0.44) | 77.67% ( -0.44) |
Mozambique Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.27% ( 0.43) | 27.73% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.7% ( 0.55) | 63.29% ( -0.56) |
Guinea-Bissau Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.6% ( 0.18) | 32.4% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.08% ( 0.2) | 68.91% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Mozambique | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
1-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.02% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.48% |
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