Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
