SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 63.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 16.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | BATE Borisov |
16.05% ( 0.45) | 20.4% ( 0.19) | 63.54% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 52.6% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.24% ( -0.01) | 42.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.84% ( -0.01) | 65.16% ( -0) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.32% ( 0.57) | 39.67% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.64% ( 0.53) | 76.35% ( -0.53) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.2% ( -0.19) | 12.79% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.89% ( -0.39) | 39.1% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.94% Total : 16.05% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.08% 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.4% | 0-2 @ 10.73% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 7.35% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 6.8% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.78% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.28% Total : 63.54% |
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