Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
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