Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 79.73%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 7.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.84%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 1-2 (2.33%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
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