Back-to-back wins have papered over the cracks in Napoli's facade, but Inter are in peak form and are equipped to exploit their fellow finalists' flaws. Inzaghi's men can be ruthless in the final third - and they give very little away either.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
