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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
S

Napoli
2 - 1
Salernitana

Politano (45+4' pen.), Rrahmani (90+6')
Cajuste (34'), Kvaratskhelia (90+10'), Rrahmani (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Candreva (29')
Legowski (43'), Inzaghi (45+1'), Bradaric (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 3-0 Napoli
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-1 Salernitana

Regardless of the 16-point difference between the sides, one victory in five at the Maradona (three altogether in 23-24) means Saturday's game with Salernitana is not guaranteed to end in a Napoli victory despite the Granata's broader away woes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 76.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 8.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawSalernitana
76.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 14.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 8.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 50.44% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.36%33.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)55.45% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.81% (0.0040000000000049 0)7.18% (-0.0011000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.9% (0.0040000000000049 0)26.1%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)45.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.54% (-0.004999999999999 -0)81.45% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 76.79%
    Salernitana 8.74%
    Draw 14.46%
NapoliDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 8.92%
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 7.83%
4-0 @ 6.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 5.15%
5-0 @ 3.46%
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.71%
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.52%
6-1 @ 1.19%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 76.79%
1-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 3.28%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 14.46%
1-2 @ 2.66%
0-1 @ 2.57%
0-2 @ 1.01%
2-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 8.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Torino 3-0 Napoli
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-0 Monza
Friday, December 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Napoli
Saturday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-4 Frosinone
Tuesday, December 19 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, December 16 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Braga
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Juventus
Sunday, January 7 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 6-1 Salernitana
Thursday, January 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Salernitana
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 AC Milan
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 4-1 Salernitana
Monday, December 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, December 10 at 5pm in Serie A


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