SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
42.47% ( 0.58) | 22.73% ( -0.32) | 34.8% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 65.9% ( 1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.07% ( 1.54) | 34.93% ( -1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.09% ( 1.7) | 56.91% ( -1.7) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% ( 0.87) | 17.08% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.73% ( 1.51) | 47.26% ( -1.52) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( 0.57) | 20.52% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.98% ( 0.9) | 53.02% ( -0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.35% Total : 42.47% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.8% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
