SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Monza had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Monza |
60.68% ( 0.58) | 20.22% ( -0.16) | 19.1% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 59.66% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.5% ( 0.1) | 36.49% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.36% ( 0.11) | 58.64% ( -0.11) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.31% ( 0.19) | 11.68% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.23% ( 0.41) | 36.76% ( -0.41) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% ( -0.36) | 32.44% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.03% ( -0.41) | 68.96% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Monza |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 60.68% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.22% | 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 19.1% |
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