As Torino rarely concede on home soil and Napoli were unable to buy a goal over the festive period - and have since lost several key players - it will surely be a low-scoring encounter between the two clubs. One moment of magic - or even madness - could separate them at the final whistle.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
