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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | CF Montreal |
55.21% ( -1.42) | 23.15% ( 0.31) | 21.64% ( 1.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.68% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.68% ( 0.04) | 46.32% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.39% ( 0.04) | 68.6% ( -0.05) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.36% ( -0.48) | 16.63% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.53% ( -0.87) | 46.47% ( 0.86) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.4% ( 1.12) | 35.6% ( -1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.63% ( 1.14) | 72.37% ( -1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.19% Total : 55.21% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.91% Total : 21.64% |
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