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Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
MI

Nashville
4 - 1
Montreal

Surridge (11', 47', 82'), Zimmerman (20')
Godoy (57'), Muyl (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Zimmerman (64' og.)
Piette (29'), Wanyama (90'), Zouhir (90+8'), Zouhir (97+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-0 CF Montreal

The return of Zimmerman should drastically improve the Nashville backline, but even without him, we believe they will be able to shut down a Montreal attack missing plenty of key pieces and who tend to sustain a lot more pressure away from home, something the Boys in Gold can take advantage of. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawCF Montreal
55.21% (-1.424 -1.42) 23.15% (0.309 0.31) 21.64% (1.109 1.11)
Both teams to score 53.68% (0.631 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.68% (0.040999999999997 0.04)46.32% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.39% (0.039999999999999 0.04)68.6% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (-0.483 -0.48)16.63% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.53% (-0.868 -0.87)46.47% (0.862 0.86)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.4% (1.12 1.12)35.6% (-1.126 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63% (1.141 1.14)72.37% (-1.146 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 55.21%
    CF Montreal 21.64%
    Draw 23.15%
Nashville SCDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.53% (-0.331 -0.33)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.294 -0.29)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 55.21%
1-1 @ 10.97% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.15%
0-1 @ 6.12% (0.172 0.17)
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.238 0.24)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 21.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 5-0 Nashville
Sunday, March 24 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Orlando City
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 5-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 7 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-0 Montreal
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 4-3 Montreal
Saturday, March 16 at 6pm in Major League Soccer


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