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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
51.18% ( -0.05) | 23.55% ( 0.09) | 25.27% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.79% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.71% ( -0.45) | 44.29% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.33% ( -0.44) | 66.67% ( 0.45) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( -0.19) | 17.35% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.26% ( -0.33) | 47.75% ( 0.33) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.71% ( -0.27) | 31.29% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.36% ( -0.32) | 67.65% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.84% Total : 51.18% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 25.27% |
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