With two wins, two draws and two defeats in their previous six matches, Nijmegen are a tough side to predict, but there should be goals, even if the two sides are difficult to separate on paper.
Almere produced two mammoth performances to get their first top-flight wins before the international break, and maintaining a position outside of the bottom three will be the aim now.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.93%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 21.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 1-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.04) 
-0.02) 
