Although NEC's undefeated streak has comprised of draws, they have still found ways to keep their points tally ticking over. We feel that the international break came at the wrong time for Go Ahead Eagles, leading us to predict a hard-fought draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
52.35% ( -1.31)	22.45% ( 0.32)	25.2% ( 1)

Both teams to score 60.53% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.69% (

-0.48)

39.31% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.36% (

-0.51)

61.64% (

0.51)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.87% (

-0.6)

15.13% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.3% (

-1.15)

43.7% (

1.16)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.32% (

0.53)

28.68% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.5% (

0.65)

64.5% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

NEC 52.35%

Go Ahead Eagles 25.2%

Draw 22.44%

NEC	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.95% Total : 52.35%	1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.44%	1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.43% Total : 25.2%