SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%).
| Result | ||
| Necaxa | Draw | Pachuca |
31.9% ( -2.91) | 25.45% ( -0.63) | 42.65% ( 3.54) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( 1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.38% ( 2.04) | 48.62% ( -2.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.26% ( 1.83) | 70.74% ( -1.82) |
| Necaxa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( -0.84) | 28.72% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.46% ( -1.06) | 64.55% ( 1.07) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( 2.71) | 22.7% ( -2.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.64% ( 3.86) | 56.37% ( -3.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Necaxa | Draw | Pachuca |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.91) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.39)2-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.7)3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.35)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.9% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.56)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.45)0-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.52)1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.54)0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.51)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.28)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.31)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.27)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.65% |
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