SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 57.81%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 21.66% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Independiente |
57.81% ( -0.17) | 20.53% ( 0.05) | 21.66% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 62.91% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.82% ( -0.06) | 34.18% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.93% ( -0.06) | 56.07% ( 0.07) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.25% ( -0.06) | 11.75% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.1% ( -0.14) | 36.9% ( 0.14) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( 0.08) | 28.71% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.46% ( 0.1) | 64.54% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Independiente |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 57.81% | 1-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.53% | 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 21.66% |
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