SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
43.63% ( -0.13) | 23.89% ( -0.02) | 32.48% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 60.76% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.68% ( 0.16) | 41.32% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.28% ( 0.16) | 63.72% ( -0.16) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( 0.01) | 19.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.11% ( 0.02) | 50.88% ( -0.02) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.2% ( 0.16) | 24.79% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.63% ( 0.23) | 59.37% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 43.63% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.48% |
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