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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City Under-21s win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
29.06% ( 0.38) | 22.85% ( 0.03) | 48.07% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 62.56% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.86% ( 0.09) | 38.13% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.59% ( 0.1) | 60.41% ( -0.1) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% ( 0.3) | 25.34% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.86% ( 0.4) | 60.13% ( -0.4) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( -0.12) | 16.19% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.32% ( -0.21) | 45.68% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.06% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.89% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 48.07% |
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