SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-21s win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.88%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
45.39% ( 0.03) | 22.12% ( -0) | 32.49% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 67.41% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.38% ( 0.01) | 32.62% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.71% ( 0.02) | 54.29% ( -0.02) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.93% ( 0.01) | 15.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.42% ( 0.03) | 43.58% ( -0.03) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% ( -0.01) | 20.63% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.8% ( -0.01) | 53.2% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.38% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 45.39% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.94% 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.49% |
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