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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
36.31% ( 0.06) | 24.72% ( 0.04) | 38.97% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.73% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.61% ( -0.17) | 44.39% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.24% ( -0.17) | 66.76% ( 0.17) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( -0.05) | 24.06% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.66% ( -0.07) | 58.33% ( 0.07) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( -0.12) | 22.66% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.69% ( -0.18) | 56.31% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 36.31% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.72% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.97% |
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