Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
