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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Wrexham |
36.11% ( -0.3) | 25.22% ( -0.08) | 38.66% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 56.9% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.26% ( 0.34) | 46.74% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.99% ( 0.32) | 69% ( -0.33) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( -0.01) | 25.25% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.99% ( -0.01) | 60.01% ( 0.01) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( 0.35) | 23.87% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.93% ( 0.51) | 58.07% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.11% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2% Total : 38.66% |
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