SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for NK Domzale had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest NK Domzale win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NK Domzale | Draw | Celje |
27.54% ( 0.01) | 24.82% ( 0.03) | 47.64% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.88% ( -0.12) | 48.11% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.72% ( -0.11) | 70.27% ( 0.11) |
| NK Domzale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( -0.06) | 31.54% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.07% ( -0.06) | 67.93% ( 0.06) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( -0.07) | 20.24% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.42% ( -0.11) | 52.58% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Domzale | Draw | Celje |
| 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 27.54% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 47.63% |
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