Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stadion Andelko Herjavec
Postonjski (26' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Prsir (89')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and Gorica.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for NK Varazdin in this match.
| Result |
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Gorica |
37.27% ( -7.44) | 27.21% ( 0.08) | 35.52% ( 7.36) |
| Both teams to score 50.22% ( 2.21) |
| 44.77% ( 1.66) | 55.22% ( -1.66) |
| 23.54% ( 1.35) | 76.46% ( -1.35) |
| 71.4% ( -3.27) | 28.6% ( 3.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.6% ( -4.29) | 64.4% ( 4.29) |
| 70.34% ( 6.04) | 29.66% ( -6.04) |
