SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 57.68%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.02%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
23% ( 0.16) | 19.32% ( 0.14) | 57.68% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 69.64% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.6% ( -0.47) | 26.41% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.27% ( -0.61) | 46.73% ( 0.61) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( -0.16) | 23.16% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.96% ( -0.24) | 57.04% ( 0.25) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.63% ( -0.21) | 9.37% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.45% ( -0.5) | 31.56% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 23% | 1-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.63% Total : 19.32% | 1-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 7.02% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.07)0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 4.16% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.97% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.33% Total : 57.68% |
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