SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 38.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.54%) and 2-0 (4.81%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | MK Dons |
39.33% ( 0.26) | 22.47% ( -0.04) | 38.19% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 67.47% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.89% ( 0.17) | 33.11% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.15% ( 0.2) | 54.85% ( -0.2) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% ( 0.19) | 17.61% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.8% ( 0.32) | 48.2% ( -0.32) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% ( -0.02) | 18.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.95% ( -0.04) | 49.05% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 39.33% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.47% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 38.19% |
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