While Notts County and Swindon are at opposite ends of the table, the hosts have won just 50% of their 10 fixtures on home turf, while the visitors have notched one win from 13 road matches, albeit playing a league-high seven away draws.
Despite the Magpies' tag as favourites, Saturday's encounter could see both sides share the spoils in a high-scoring draw in the East Midlands.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
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